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Markets / The Economic Times
Reserve Bank of India will now tolerate a weaker rupee amidst multiple external headwinds, including a widening trade gap and stalled dollar inflows. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has shifted from aggressive dollar sales to allowing the rupee to fall, intervening only to curb sharp volatility or speculative build-up, not to defend a specific level.
Bond investors have raised concerns that Kevin Hassett, a leading contender to replace Jerome Powell, may push for aggressive rate cuts aligned with President Trumps preferences. Treasury officials were briefed by major Wall Street players, who worry Hassett could prioritise political objectives over market stability and the Feds inflation mandate.
Japanese government bonds saw record-high yields on 30-year debt, reaching 3.445%, amid plans for massive stimulus. Despite concerns over rising yields, an auction for these bonds attracted strong investor demand. Analysts suggest this reflects a belief that interest rate hikes might be nearing their peak, potentially flattening the yield curve.
Market expert Sunil Subramaniam anticipates a quiet December for equities. He believes a significant recovery is unlikely this month, with a positive bias expected. Foreign institutional investors are booking profits and taking vacations. Domestic institutional investors are building cash. A potential RBI rate cut could offer a brief trigger.
Uncertainty surrounding a U.S.-India trade deal is driving rupee volatility, with the currency potentially falling to 92 per dollar if an agreement is delayed. The rupee has already hit an all-time low, becoming Asia's worst performer due to a widening trade gap and weak investment flows.
Indian government bonds are experiencing a downturn, with yields climbing as the rupee weakens and policy uncertainty looms. Despite robust economic growth and low inflation, traders are hesitant ahead of the central bank's decision. The Reserve Bank of India's liquidity operations are adding to market confusion, leaving investors awaiting clear signals on future rate cuts and liquidity management.
Bitcoin and Ethereum climbed to two-week highs as strong expectations of a Fed rate cut boosted risk sentiment. BTC hovered near $93,400 while ETH crossed $3,200. Analysts said softer U.S. data, improving liquidity and renewed ETF inflows supported the rebound, though leverage remains muted amid recent liquidation-driven caution.
Gold hovered near Rs 1.30 lakh as traders awaited next weeks U.S. Fed meeting, with expectations of a rate cut keeping global prices firm above $4,200. Weak U.S. payroll data and a soft dollar supported bullion, while analysts said a dovish Fed could trigger a breakout above Rs 1.31 lakh.
Investment-grade debt issuance is set to surge in 2026 as Big Tech accelerates AI infrastructure spending and M&A activity rebounds. Top U.S. tech firms may require up to $100 billion in funding, while a swelling pipeline of corporate deals and renewed private-equity confidence is expected to further boost bond market activity.
Corona Remedies is launching its Rs 655 crore IPO next week. The Gujarat-based pharmaceutical firm is offering 100% of its shares. The grey market premium indicates a potential 29% upside. Investors can subscribe from December 8 to 10. The company has strong financial growth and high return ratios. Shares will list on NSE and BSE.
The rupees drop past 90 per dollar has shaken markets and dragged equities lower, with rate-sensitive sectors hit hardest. Despite strong GDP growth, the currencys near 5% depreciation this year makes it the worst performer among major EM peers and has revived inflation concerns. Analysts warn that continued weakness could limit the RBIs scope for further rate cuts.
JPMorgans Rajiv Batra says PSU banks remain a top tactical bet despite recent volatility, with strong credit growth, tech upgrades, and policy support set to drive re-rating. FIIs may return as Indias growth, earnings, and reforms strengthen. He expects nominal GDP to rise, supporting 1314% earnings growth and further upside in midcaps if momentum holds.
President Donald Trump is intensely focused on lowering interest rates. He has tasked Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent with finding a new Federal Reserve chair. Trump wants swift rate cuts to boost the economy. The selection process is crucial, with potential candidates signaling willingness to align with Trump's agenda. The chosen nominee faces pressure to deliver.
Vidya Wires IPO: In the grey market, the IPO is quoting a 5 premium about 9.6% above the upper price band suggesting a possible listing near 57 per share. Investor sentiment remains upbeat, though the premium has eased from 11.54% earlier.
Aequs IPO saw strong Day 1 demand, getting subscribed 3.42 times, with retail bids soaring past 11 times. The grey market premium suggests a 37% listing upside, indicating a possible debut near Rs 170. Despite recent losses, analysts cite strong aerospace integration, high entry barriers, and attractive valuations as key positives.
IndiGo operator InterGlobe Aviations shares fell sharply after widespread flight disruptions crippled operations for two days, prompting a public apology from the airline. A mix of tech glitches, winter schedule changes, adverse weather, congestion, and new crew rostering rules hit punctuality, leading IndiGo to recalibrate schedules to stabilise operations over the next 48 hours.
A surge of 15 IPOs is capturing investor attention, with some already seeing strong subscription. Grey market premiums indicate potential listing gains of up to 41% for select issues, driven by brand strength and sector momentum. While some offerings show robust early interest, others are awaiting clearer market signals.
India's rupee has fallen to a record low against the dollar, raising concerns about a potential slide to 100. This depreciation is driven by weaker exports, foreign outflows, and global dollar strength. While policymakers remain measured, analysts suggest a breach of 100 is possible under specific negative scenarios, though not the base case.
Pine Labs shares: Pine Labs returned to profit in Q2FY26 with 6 crore in net earnings its strongest performance yet and a turnaround from last years loss alongside a 25% sequential growth in profit after tax.
Represented by a long white (or green) candlestick with no upper shadow and a small or nonexistent lower shadow, it signals strong buying pressure throughout the session.
Indian stocks opened lower on Thursday, extending a losing streak to a fifth session as foreign investors resumed heavy selling and the rupee hit a fresh record low. Investors are exercising caution ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's policy decision and guidance due Friday. The Sensex and Nifty both slipped in early trading.
RSI trending up indicates that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising, suggesting strengthening momentum in the stocks price.
Foreign investors showed strong interest in Japanese stocks and bonds. They purchased technology and banking shares, anticipating Federal Reserve rate cuts and potential Bank of Japan rate hikes. This influx boosted Japanese equities, which are expected to see robust profit growth next year. Japanese investors, meanwhile, bought foreign stocks but sold foreign bonds.
Biocon shares: Biocons Board will meet on Saturday, December 6, 2025, to decide on key proposals that could shape its growth and shareholder value. A major agenda item is a potential investment in its unlisted arm, Biocon Biologics either through cash or preferential allotment to boost its stake and support long-term expansion.
Northern Arc Capital expects its return on assets (ROA) to rise to 3.73.8% over the next two years, driven by stronger NIMs from its expanding retail franchise and a fast-growing fee income business. MD & CEO Ashish Mehrotra outlines how credit-cost normalization, branch-led MSME growth and a rising share of direct lending will power 2530% annual AUM growth.
The Indian rupee has reached a new low, trading below 90 against the US dollar. This marks a significant slide for the currency. Foreign investors are continuing to withdraw funds from Indian stocks. The rupee's decline is impacting exports and making local equities less attractive. This trend highlights economic challenges for India.
Technical analyst Rohit Srivastava says Nifty is oversold and sitting on a crucial support at 25,900, with Bank Nifty near 59,100. A close below these levels could trigger a deeper fall, but holding them may mark a market bottom. He explains why volatility remains low, sector rotation continues, and what levels traders should watch for the next breakout.
IndiGo faces a DGCA probe over widespread flight disruptions, with over 200 cancellations and hundreds of delays impacting passengers. The airline cites new pilot duty rules, tech glitches, and weather as causes. IndiGo is implementing schedule adjustments and offering passenger support. Shares saw a decline amid these operational challenges.
NHPC shares are poised for investor attention after Unit 2 of its 2,000-MW Subansiri project successfully synchronized with the grid on December 2, 2025. This marks the first unit to supply power for testing, with Commercial Operation expected this month. The project promises significant clean energy generation, bolstering India's green goals.
The Indian rupee is poised for a modest recovery against the U.S. dollar in the coming months, contingent on a trade deal between the two nations. Despite recent record lows and significant foreign investor outflows, analysts anticipate a stabilization. A breakthrough in trade talks is seen as crucial for boosting sentiment and improving capital flows, preventing further sharp depreciation.

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