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The Economic Times

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MPC minutes: Two more interest rate hikes on cards, maybe even a third

Market participants and economists now expect a 25-bps increase in the December and February reviews. A further 25-bps increase in April isn't ruled out if crude oil prices remain persistently above $100. One basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. After the minutes were released, we think the probability of a consecutive hike in December has increased. Our terminal rate forecast is now at 6% for this hiking cycle and we expect the cycle to be rather shallow, Barclays said in a note.

23 Oct 2026 12:56 am