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The Economic Times

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Democrats midterm election odds surge amid Iran war, markets suggest

Recent prediction market data indicates that the Democratic Partys chances of winning the 2026 midterm elections have surged amid the ongoing Iran conflict. Democrats currently hold a 47% probability of taking the Senate and an 85% probability of regaining the House of Representatives. Markets suggest heightened voter concern about foreign policy and national leadership, contributing to these shifts. While odds are not definitive, they offer a real-time indicator of political sentiment.

9 Mar 2026 9:05 pm