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US midterm elections 2026: Latest predictions and odds from Polymarket

According to Polymarket, there's a remarkable 93% likelihood that Democrats will secure the House in the 2026 elections. The Senate presents a more competitive landscape with Democrats at 63% and Republicans at 38%. The surge in trading volume indicates high public interest in both markets as November 3 approaches. Key individual Senate races are particularly pivotal, potentially affecting the overall power dynamics.

1 Oct 2026 1:11 am